EminiForecaster Blog and Update History

Accurate Stock Market Forecasts for the Emini SP and other Futures

Archive for September, 2013

The Official EminiForecaster forecast for the trading week ending September 27th has been posted.

http://eminiforecaster.com/members/membersblog/forecaster.php

There are no changes to the forecast. We expect the market to decline next week into the Tuesday / Wednesday area and then rise from there.

This last week the forecast was correct and the market rose as expected.  The anticipated decline came early which is bearish.

Often this time of year brings with it volatility. So we will watch increases carefully going forward. This is typically true through about the third week of October.  Higher volatility is typically bearish and lower volatility is bullish. In this last week volatility has declined and this is near term bullish.

Our projections for the coming week are showing 1744 above and the low end is showing 1677 as a potential target.  This method operates on about the 70% probability level over time.

Cycling below the 1708 area is bearish, above it is also bullish. We are currently in bearish territory as of today’s close.

Monday, an open below 1707 is bearish. An open above 1718 is bullish. In between these levels is neutral and ranging is more likely.

We have a moderate report schedule next week with reports on each day except Friday. Be sure to check the schedule for times: http://eminiforecaster.com/members/membersblog/calendar.html).

Wishing you the very best,

EMF Team

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The official EminiForecaster forecast for the trading week ending September 20th has been posted.

http://eminiforecaster.com/members/membersblog/forecaster.php

There are no changes to the forecast. We expect the market to decline next week into the Tuesday / Wednesday area and then rise from there.

This week the forecast was correct and the market rose as expected.

Often this time of year brings with it volatility. So we will watch increases carefully going forward. This is typically true through about the third week of October.  Higher volatility is typically bearish and lower volatility is bullish. In this last week volatility has declined and this is near term bullish.

Our projections for the coming week are showing 1693 above and the low end is showing 1638 as a potential target.  This method operates on about the 70% probability level over time.

Keep in mind we are near the upper projection.  If we cycle through that area the 1720 area will be expected and the forecast will technically be wrong for the week. Put another way, we will want to see selling below that 1693 area very early in the week in order for the forecast to be successful. Further, due to the short down cycle this week (expected into the Tuesday PM area), the short side is considered limited at this time according to the forecaster.

Cycling below the 1675 area is bearish, above it is also bullish. We are currently in bullish territory as of today’s close.

Tomorrow, an open below 1678.75 is bearish. An open above 1681.50 is bullish. In between these levels is neutral and ranging is more likely.

We have a moderate report schedule next week with reports on each day except Friday. Be sure to check the schedule for times: http://eminiforecaster.com/members/membersblog/calendar.html).

Wishing you the very best,

EMF Team

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The official EminiForecaster forecast for the trading week ending September 13th has been posted.

http://eminiforecaster.com/members/membersblog/forecaster.php

There are no changes to the forecast.  We expect the market to rise next week into Thursday and then decline from there.

This last week the forecast was wrong and the market was opposite the forecast. When the week is shortened due to a holiday, it can negatively influence the forecast. This is a topic we have covered many times in this update.   Depending on the time the shift in the movement occurs with respect to the holiday, it may have more or less impact on the system’s ability to forecast.   We were also looking at shifts due to news of potential war.

Often this time of year brings with it volatility. So we will watch increases carefully going forward. This is typically true through about the third week of October.  Higher volatility is typically bearish and lower volatility is bullish. in this last week volatility has declined and this is near term bullish.

Our projections for the coming week are showing 1674 above and the low end is showing 1628 as a potential target.  This method operates on about the 70% probability level over time.

Cycling below the 1634 area is bearish, above it is also bullish. We are currently in bullish territory as of today’s close.

Monday, an open below 1649 is bearish. An open above 1663 is bullish. In between these levels is neutral and ranging is more likely.

We have a fairly thin report schedule next week with the bulk of important reports toward the end of the week.  Be sure to check the schedule for times: http://eminiforecaster.com/members/membersblog/calendar.html).

Wishing you the very best,

EMF Team

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The Tentative / Official EminiForecaster forecast for the trading week ending September 6th has been posted.

http://eminiforecaster.com/members/membersblog/forecaster.php  (click “next week”)

We expect the market to rise next week into Tuesday and then decline from there.  Next week is a holiday so this forecast also constitutes the official forecast for next week as well. Please disregard the data on the forecaster for Monday.

Last week the market responded to news of war which caused the market to not move entirely as forecasted.

With talk of war and uncertainty associated with it, the markets may exhibit more volatility.  Often this time of year brings with it volatility. So we will watch increases carefully going forward. This is typically true through about the third week of October.  Higher volatility is typically bearish and lower volatility is bullish.

Our projections for the coming week are showing 1664 above and the low end is showing 1609 as a potential target.  This method operates on about the 70% probability level over time.

Cycling below the 1640 area is bearish, above it is also bullish. We are currently in bearish territory as of today’s close.

Tomorrow, an open below 1634.75 is bearish. An open above 1642.50 is bullish. In between these levels is neutral and ranging is more likely.

We have a busy report schedule next week with reports on each day of the week except Monday which is a holiday. Be sure to check the schedule for times: http://eminiforecaster.com/members/membersblog/calendar.html).

Wishing you the very best,

EMF Team

P.S. As always be sure to recognize our service on your credit card as Axiom Research & Trading, Inc. and / or Emini Forecaster.  Also, if you need to make changes of any kind on your account they can be done in the members area on your account.  If you wish to make changes on your account and have difficulty doing so, as always, contact us via email for assistance.

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