EminiForecaster Blog and Update History

Accurate Stock Market Forecasts for the Emini SP and other Futures

Archive for April, 2013

The Official EminiForecaster forecast for the trading week ending May 3rd has been posted.

http://eminiforecaster.com/members/membersblog/forecaster.php

There are no changes tot eh forecast. We expect the market to decline next week into Wednesday and then rise from there.

This last week’s forecast is more-or-less on target with the turn coming slightly late. We hit our weekly target Thursday and began turning down. If we open below 1575.25 Monday, this will be bearish.

We currently see the market as bearish below 1573.25 and bullish above it. Be aware this is a key pivot area.

Monday AM we will want to see an open above 1579.50 to be bullish, If we open below 1575.25 this is bearish. In between  these levels is neutral and may invite ranging.

We have a very busy report schedule next week with reports on every day. Be sure to check the schedule: http://eminiforecaster.com/members/membersblog/calendar.html).

The minimum expected targets for the week as of this writing are the 1619 region above and the 1535 area below.  These levels operate on about a 70% probability level over time.

Wishing you the very best,

EMF Team

Note: Please remember your billing on your credit card statement will now read Axiom Research and Trading. If you see this, please remember so you know who it is.

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The Tentative EminiForecaster forecast for the trading week ending May 3rd has been posted.

http://eminiforecaster.com/members/membersblog/forecaster.php (click “Next Week”)

We expect the market to decline next week into Wednesday and then rise from there.

This week’s forecast is more-or-less on target. We hit our weekly target today and began turning down. If we open below 1579.75 tomorrow this will be bearish.

Volatility has been on the rise recently and this is bearish.

We currently see the market as bearish below 1573.25 and bullish above it. Be aware this is a key pivot area.

Tomorrow AM we will want to see an open above 1585.75 to be bullish, If we open below 1579.75 this is bearish. In between  these levels is neutral and may invite ranging.

We have a very busy report schedule next week with reports on every day. Be sure to check the schedule: http://eminiforecaster.com/members/membersblog/calendar.html).

The minimum expected targets for the week as of this writing are the 1619 region above and the 1539 area below.  These levels operate on about a 70% probability level over time.

More over the weekend.

Wishing you the very best,

EMF Team

Note: Please remember your billing on your credit card statement will now read Axiom Research and Trading. If you see this, please remember so you know who it is.

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The Official EminiForecaster forecast for the trading week ending April 26th has been posted.

http://eminiforecaster.com/members/membersblog/forecaster.php

There are no changes to the forecast. We expect the market to rise next week into Wednesday and then decline from there.

This week’s forecast is a little late overall in turning but if we open bullish in the AM more upside is expected. This is bearish.

Volatility has risen this week and this is bearish.  The lowest low of the last 5 weeks is 1529.50 and we are near that as of today’s low. Friday we rallied.  If we have a bullish open and or see buying early on Monday it will be bullish as forecasted.

We have pattern of the FOMC scheduling many speeches recently and this has had minimal bullish impact. This is also bearish. Earnings still continue to come in about as expected overall.  Earnings take priority over scheduled reports in general.

We currently see the market as bearish below 1546 and bullish above it. We are currently right at or near this level which is neutral for now.

Monday AM we will want to see an open above 1550 to be bullish, If we open below 1543 this is bearish. In between  these levels is neutral and may invite ranging.

We have a fairly thin report schedule next week but there is at least one key report each trading day. Be sure to check the schedule: http://eminiforecaster.com/members/membersblog/calendar.html).

The minimum expected targets for the week as of this writing are the 1584 region above and the 1497 area below.  These levels operate on about a 70% probability level over time.

Wishing you the very best,

EMF Team

Note: Please remember your billing on your credit card statement will now read Axiom Research and Trading. If you see this, please remember so you know who it is.

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The Tentative EminiForecaster forecast for the trading week ending April 26th has been posted.

http://eminiforecaster.com/members/membersblog/forecaster.php  (click Next Week)

We expect the market to rise next week into Wednesday and then decline from there.

This week’s forecast is a little late overall in turning but if we open bullish in the AM more upside is expected.

Volatility has risen this week and this is bearish.  The lowest low of the last 5 weeks is 1529.50 and we are near that as of today’s low.  A bearish day tomorrow may change next week’s forecast.

We have pattern of the FOMC scheduling many speeches recently and this has had minimal bullish impact. This is also bearish. Earnings still continue to come in about as expected overall.  Earnings take priority over scheduled reports in general.

We currently see the market as bearish below 1546 and bullish above it. We are currently below this which is bearish for now.

Tomorrow AM we will want to see an open above 1544 to be bullish, If we open below 1535 this is bearish. In between  these levels is neutral and may invite ranging.

We have a fairly thin report schedule next week but there is at least one key report each trading day. Be sure to check the schedule: http://eminiforecaster.com/members/membersblog/calendar.html).

The minimum expected targets for the week as of this writing are the 1584 region above and the 1483 area below.  These levels operate on about a 70% probability level over time.

More on the weekend…

Wishing you the very best,

EMF Team

Note: Please remember your billing on your credit card statement will now read Axiom Research and Trading. If you see this, please remember so you know who it is.

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The Official EminiForecaster forecast for the trading week ending April 19th has been posted.

http://eminiforecaster.com/members/membersblog/forecaster.php

There are no changes to the forecast. We expect the market to decline next week into Wednesday and then rise from there.

This last week’s forecast was pretty much right on the money.

Volatility has again been more-or-less flat in recent days which is neutral to bullish. The expected down cycle is coming in the face of a fairly strong rally so the amount of downside may be limited and in these cases turns can come a bit early so use caution in this respect.

We have pattern of the FOMC scheduling many speeches recently. The FOMC has an interest in maintaining an upside market. Earnings still continue to come in about as expected overall.  Earnings take priority over scheduled reports in general.  IBM will be reporting earnings Monday. A better than expected report from IBM may be a market mover.

We currently see the market as bearish below 1582 and bullish above it. We are currently above this which is bullish for now.

Monday AM we will want to see an open above 1584.25 to be bullish, If we open below 1579.50 this is bearish. In between  these levels is neutral and may invite ranging. An open below 1587 would be particularly bearish.

We have a fairly thin report schedule next week with quite a few FOMC speaking engagements. Be sure to check the schedule: http://eminiforecaster.com/members/membersblog/calendar.html).

The minimum expected targets for the week as of this writing are the 1604 region above and the 1560 area below.  These levels operate on about a 70% probability level over time.

Wishing you the very best,

EMF Team

Note: Please remember your billing on your credit card statement will now read Axiom Research and Trading. If you see this, please remember so you know who it is.

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The Tentative EminiForecaster forecast for the trading week ending April 19th has been posted.

http://eminiforecaster.com/members/membersblog/forecaster.php  (click “Next Week”)

We expect the market to decline next week into Wednesday and then rise from there.

Volatility has again been more-or-less flat in recent days which is neutral to bullish. The expected down cycle is coming in the face of a fairly strong rally so the amount of downside may be limited and in these cases turns can come a bit early so use caution in this respect.

We have pattern of the FOMC scheduling many speeches recently. The FOMC has an interest in maintaining an upside market. They released the FOMC minutes early yesterday after giving the report of Congress and Goldman Sachs early. This sparked a strong rally.  Earnings still continue to come in about as expected overall.  Earnings take priority over scheduled reports in general.  IBM will be reporting earnings Monday. A better than expected report from IBM may be a market mover.

We currently see the market as bearish below 1582 and bullish above it. We are currently above this which is bullish for now.

Tomorrow AM we will want to see an open above 1592 to be bullish, If we open below 1587 this is bearish. In between  these levels is neutral and may invite ranging. An open below 1587 would be particularly bearish.

Tomorrow is a big report day for both before and after the market open. We have a fairly thin report schedule next week with quite a few FOMC speaking engagements. Be sure to check the schedule: http://eminiforecaster.com/members/membersblog/calendar.html).

The minimum expected targets for the week as of this writing are the 1606 region above and the 1568 area below.  These levels operate on about a 70% probability level over time. We have tagged our upper target for last week as of today.

More on the weekend…

Wishing you the very best,

EMF Team

Note: Please remember your billing on your credit card statement will now read Axiom Research and Trading. If you see this, please remember so you know who it is.

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The Official EminiForecaster forecast for the trading week ending April 12th has been posted.

http://eminiforecaster.com/members/membersblog/forecaster.php

There are no changes to the forecast. We expect the market to rise next week into Thursday and then decline from there.

Volatility has been more-or-less flat in recent days which is neutral to bullish and is consistent with the coming week’s forecast.

We have had a pattern of reports failing to meet expectations. If this pattern continues it could negatively impact the forecast. Earnings continue to come in slightly better than expected however, so that should  take priority and make it so the market will be more inclined to shrug off bad news. But this is true only to a point. Friday’s non-farm payrolls was lees than half what was expected. Keep an eye on the reports and the trend of them.

We currently see the market as bearish below 1554 and bullish above it. We are currently below this slightly and this is bearish for now.

Monday AM we will want to see an open above 1544 to be bullish, If we open below 1535 this is bearish. In between  these levels is neutral and may invite ranging.

We have a fairly busy report schedule next week particularly after Tuesday. Be sure to check the schedule: http://eminiforecaster.com/members/membersblog/calendar.html).

The minimum expected targets for the week as of this writing are the 1560 region above and the 1531 area below. These levels are a fairly tight projection, indicating a prediction for collapsing range in the coming days. These levels operate on about a 70% probability level over time. We have tagged our upper target for last week as of today.

Tomorrow’s price action could influence the official forecast.

Wishing you the very best,

EMF Team

Note: Please remember your billing on your credit card statement will now read Axiom Research and Trading. If you see this, please remember so you know who it is.

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The Tentative EminiForecaster forecast for the trading week ending April 12th has been posted.

http://eminiforecaster.com/members/membersblog/forecaster.php (click “Next Week”)

We expect the market to rise next week into Thursday and then decline from there.

This last week was pretty much right on for the Gline forecast and the forecast per the update.

Volatility has been more-or-less flat in recent days which is neutral to bullish and is consistent with the coming week’s forecast.

We currently see the market as bearish below 1554 and bullish above it. We are currently above this slightly and this is bullish for now.

Tomorrow AM we will want to see an open above 1555 to be bullish, If we open below 1550 this is bearish. In between  these levels is neutral and may invite ranging.

We have a fairly busy report schedule next week particularly after Tuesday. Be sure to check the schedule: http://eminiforecaster.com/members/membersblog/calendar.html).

The minimum expected targets for the week as of this writing are the 1571 region above and the 1533 area below. These levels operate on about a 70% probability level over time. We have tagged our upper target for last week as of today.

Tomorrow’s price action could influence the official forecast.

Wishing you the very best,

EMF Team

Note: Please remember your billing on your credit card statement will now read Axiom Research and Trading. If you see this, please remember so you know who it is.

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