EminiForecaster Blog and Update History

Accurate Stock Market Forecasts for the Emini SP and other Futures

The Official EminiForecaster forecast for the trading week ending April 18th 2014 has been posted.

http://eminiforecaster.com/members/membersblog/forecaster.php

There are no changes to the forecast. We expect the market to rise for the first two days and then decline from there.

Our projections for the coming week are showing 1864 above and the low end is showing 1775 as a potential target. This method operates on about the 70% probability level over time.

Cycling below the 1840 area is bearish, above it is bullish. We are currently in bearish territory and view the market as being bearish below this level.

Monday, an open below 1811.00 is bearish. An open above 1822.25 is bullish. In between these levels is neutral and ranging is more likely.

The volatility has been rising substantially in recent days and this is bearish. The market has also been declining on fairly high volume and this is also bearish.  A bullish open on Monday above 1822 will likely shake out some bears however, this would require abotu a 10 point gap upwards Monday AM which is not particularly likely. This goes against the current forecast. However, we are at or near key support and this will likely attract some buying activity early in the week.  Caution is advised as volatility is high and this effectively creates leverage. As a result, scaling down position sizing may also be a prudent strategy.

We have a moderately busy report schedule next week with no reports on Friday. Though significant key reports are out on Monday-Thursday  Be sure to check the schedule for times: http://eminiforecaster.com/members/membersblog/calendar.html).

In order to view last week’s history, click here: http://eminiforecaster.com/history.html

Have a great trading week!

EMF Team

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The Official EminiForecaster forecast for the trading week ending April 11th 2014 has been posted.

http://eminiforecaster.com/members/membersblog/forecaster.php

There are no changes to the forecast. We expect the market to rise into mid week and then decline from there.

Our projections for the coming week are showing 1898 above and the low end is showing 1850 as a potential target. The tightness of this range is suggesting consolidation.  This method operates on about the 70% probability level over time.

The volatility has been declining substantially in recent days but rose substantially in the last two days and this is bearish.

Cycling below the 1876 area is bearish, above it is bullish. We are currently in bearish territory and will view the market as being bearish below this level.

Monday, an open below 1856.25 is bearish. An open above 1882.50 is bullish. In between these levels is neutral and ranging is more likely.  Use caution this week especially in the early days of the week to see if we are getting a bullish or bearish open for the week. A bullish open, particularly on Monday will likey increase the probability of a good forecast.

We have a moderately busy report schedule next week with reports each day except Monday and FOMC minutes on Wednesday. The report density increases as the week progresses. Be sure to check the schedule for times: http://eminiforecaster.com/members/membersblog/calendar.html).

In order to view last week’s history, click here: http://eminiforecaster.com/history.html

EMF Team

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The Official EminiForecaster forecast for the trading week ending April 4th 2014 has been posted.

http://eminiforecaster.com/members/membersblog/forecaster.php

The forecast has changed this week. We expect the market to rise into mid week and then decline from there.

Our projections for the coming week are showing 1882 above and the low end is showing 1819 as a potential target.  This method operates on about the 70% probability level over time.

The volatility has been declining in recent days and this is bullish. The forecast is now going with this at this time. We typically like to see the forecast going with volatility as it can tend to lead the market a bit.

Cycling below the 1850 area is bearish, above it is bullish. We are currently at this level, so the market is in a neutral state.

Monday, an open below 1849.25 is bearish. An open above 1858.75 is bullish. In between these levels is neutral and ranging is more likely.

We have a busy report schedule next week with reports each day. There may be uncertainty regarding banks meeting the stress test results due out on Wednesday. Be sure to check the schedule for times: http://eminiforecaster.com/members/membersblog/calendar.html).

In order to view last week’s history, click here: http://eminiforecaster.com/history.html

EMF Team

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The Official EminiForecaster forecast for the trading week ending March 28th 2014 has been posted.

http://eminiforecaster.com/members/membersblog/forecaster.php

There are no changes to the forecast. We expect the market to rise into Thursday and then decline from there.

Our projections for the coming week are showing 1901 above and the low end is showing 1831 as a potential target.  This method operates on about the 70% probability level over time.

The volatility has been rising in recent days and this is bearish. However it has resided a bit today and this is tentatively bullish.

Cycling below the 1860 area is bearish, above it is bullish. We are currently below and near this level, so the market is in a bearish to neutral state currently.

Monday, an open below 1861.25 is bearish. An open above 1876.75 is bullish. In between these levels is neutral and ranging is more likely.

We have a moderately busy report schedule next week and the intensity of important reports increases as the week progresses. Be sure to check the schedule for times: http://eminiforecaster.com/members/membersblog/calendar.html).

In order to view last week’s history, click here: http://eminiforecaster.com/history.html

Have a great trading week!

EMF Team

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The Official EminiForecaster forecast for the trading week ending March 21st 2014 has been posted.

http://eminiforecaster.com/members/membersblog/forecaster.php

There are no changes to the forecast. We expect the market to rise for the first two days and then decline from there.

Our projections for the coming week are showing 1873 above and the low end is showing 1806 as a potential target.  This method operates on about the 70% probability level over time.

The volatility has been rising in recent days and this is bearish.

Cycling below the 1851 area is bearish, above it is bullish. We are currently below this level, so the market is in a bearish state currently.

Monday, an open below 1836.25 is bearish. An open above 1844 is bullish. In between these levels is neutral and ranging is more likely.

We have a busy report schedule next week with an FOMC statement on Wednesday. Be sure to check the schedule for times: http://eminiforecaster.com/members/membersblog/calendar.html).

In order to view last week’s history, click here: http://eminiforecaster.com/history.html

Have a great trading week!

EMF Team

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The Official EminiForecaster forecast for the trading week ending March 14th 2014 has been posted.

http://eminiforecaster.com/members/membersblog/forecaster.php

There are no changes to the forecast. We expect the market to decline to move sideways for the first couple days and then rise from there.

Our projections for the coming week are showing 1910 above and the low end is showing 1847 as a potential target.  This method operates on about the 70% probability level over time.

The volatility has continued to decline in recent days and this is bullish.  We are out at new highs on normal volume and this also is bullish.

Cycling below the 1872 area is bearish, above it is bullish. We are currently above this level, so the market is in a bullish state currently.

Monday, an open below 1870.75 is bearish. An open above 1878 is bullish. In between these levels is neutral and ranging is more likely.

We have a moderately busy report schedule next week. Be sure to check the schedule for times: http://eminiforecaster.com/members/membersblog/calendar.html).

In order to view last week’s history, click here: http://eminiforecaster.com/history.html

EMF Team

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The Official EminiForecaster forecast for the trading week ending March 7th 2014 has been posted.

http://eminiforecaster.com/members/membersblog/forecaster.php

There are no changes to the forecast. We expect the market to decline for the first couple days and then rise from there.

Our projections for the coming week are showing 1880 above and the low end is showing 1832 as a potential target.  This method operates on about the 70% probability level over time.

The volatility has continued to decline in recent days and this is bullish.  But there was a tick upward today signaling some potential beaish sentiment for the coming days in the near term.

Cycling below the 1849 area is bearish, above it is bullish. We are currently above this level, so the market is in a bullish state currently.

Monday, an open below 1854.50 is bearish. An open above 1864.25 is bullish. In between these levels is neutral and ranging is more likely.

We have a busy report schedule next week. Be sure to check the schedule for times: http://eminiforecaster.com/members/membersblog/calendar.html).

In order to view last week’s history, click here: http://eminiforecaster.com/history.html

EMF Team

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The Official EminiForecaster forecast for the trading week ending February 28th 2014 has been posted.

http://eminiforecaster.com/members/membersblog/forecaster.php

There are no changes to the forecast. We expect the market to continue its ascent into mid week and decline from there.

Our projections for the coming week are showing 1883 above and the low end is showing 1794 as a potential target.  This method operates on about the 70% probability level over time.

The volatility has been declining in recent days and this is bullish.

Cycling below the 1833 area is bearish, above it is bullish. We are currently at or near this level, so the market is in a neutral state.

Monday, an open below 1837 is bearish. An open above 1842.75 is bullish. In between these levels is neutral and ranging is more likely.

We have a moderately busy report schedule next week with the bulk of reports increasing as the week progresses. Be sure to check the schedule for times: http://eminiforecaster.com/members/membersblog/calendar.html).

In order to view last week’s history, click here: http://eminiforecaster.com/history.html

EMF Team

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The Official EminiForecaster forecast for the trading week ending February 14th 2014 has been posted.

http://eminiforecaster.com/members/membersblog/forecaster.php

There is a change to the forecast.  We expect the market to continue its ascent for 2 days and then decline from there.

Our projections for the coming week are showing 1829 above and the low end is showing 1735 as a potential target.  This method operates on about the 70% probability level over time.

The volatility has been increasing in recent days and this is bearish. As previously mentioned, There are issues with international markets that are putting pressure on our domestic markets.

Cycling below the 1764.50 area is bearish, above it is bullish. We are currently above this level, so the market is in a bullish state.

Monday, an open below 1779.25 is bearish. An open above 1793.75 is bullish. In between these levels is neutral and ranging is more likely.

We have a busy report schedule next week with reports on each day of the week excepting Monday. Be sure to check the schedule for times: http://eminiforecaster.com/members/membersblog/calendar.html).

In order to view last week’s history, click here: http://eminiforecaster.com/history.html

EMF Team

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The Official EminiForecaster forecast for the trading week ending February 14th 2014 has been posted.

http://eminiforecaster.com/members/membersblog/forecaster.php

There is a change to the forecast.  We expect the market to continue its ascent for 2 days and then decline from there.

Our projections for the coming week are showing 1829 above and the low end is showing 1735 as a potential target.  This method operates on about the 70% probability level over time.

The volatility has been increasing in recent days and this is bearish. As previously mentioned, There are issues with international markets that are putting pressure on our domestic markets.

Cycling below the 1764.50 area is bearish, above it is bullish. We are currently above this level, so the market is in a bullish state.

Monday, an open below 1779.25 is bearish. An open above 1793.75 is bullish. In between these levels is neutral and ranging is more likely.

We have a busy report schedule next week with reports on each day of the week excepting Monday. Be sure to check the schedule for times: http://eminiforecaster.com/members/membersblog/calendar.html).

In order to view last week’s history, click here: http://eminiforecaster.com/history.html

EMF Team

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  • Comments Off